Sexual behaviour patterns in South Africa and their association with the spread of HIV: insights from a mathematical model

Help | Contact us

Johnson, L.F., Dorrington, R.E., Bradshaw, D., Pillay-Van Wyk, V. & Rehle, T.M. (2009) Sexual behaviour patterns in South Africa and their association with the spread of HIV: insights from a mathematical model. Demographic Research. 21:289-340. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11910/4627

http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11910/4627
 
Abstract:
This paper aims to quantify the effects of different types of sexual risk behaviour on the spread of HIV in South Africa. A mathematical model is developed to simulate changes in numbers of sexual partners, changes in marital status, changes in commercial sex activity, and changes in the frequency of unprotected sex over the life course. This is extended to allow for the transmission of HIV, and the model is fitted to South African HIV prevalence data and sexual behaviour data. Results suggest that concurrent partnerships and other non-spousal partnerships are major drivers of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in South Africa.
Reference:
If you would like to obtain a copy of this Research Output, please contact the Research Outputs curators at researchoutputs@hsrc.ac.za

Attribution-NonCommercial
CC BY-NC

This license lets others remix, adapt, and build upon your work non-commercially, and although their new works must also acknowledge you and be non-commercial, they don’t have to license their derivative works on the same terms.
 
25 Aug 2015
 
HIV/AIDS
SEXUAL BEHAVIOUR
RISK BEHAVIOUR
 
Show full item record
 
 

This item appears in the following Collection(s)