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Forecasting the demand for scarce skills, 2001-2006

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dc.date.accessioned 2004-03-25 en
dc.date.accessioned 2020-03-03T12:16:54Z
dc.date.available 2020-03-03T12:16:54Z
dc.date.issued 2015-08-25 en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11910/8092
dc.description.abstract This chapter describes a study of the demand for high-level human resources for the period 2001-2006, and forecasts the number of new positions arising and the replacement demand over the period. The research uses a labour-demand model to estimate the number of new positions that will arise as the result of industrial growth. The authors show that the demand for engineers, natural scientists and computer-related professionals will be strong (i.e. more than 2 per cent) reflecting the increasing use of new and more sophisticated technology in all spheres of life. At the same time, the continued fiscal restraint by government will limit increases in professional employment in the public sector, with educators and lecturers showing no growth, and medical practitioners and nurses showing only 1 per cent growth each. Nevertheless, replacement demand should be strong, as the effect of the HIV/AIDS epidemic escalates and adds to the vacancies created by retirements, emigration and other causes of mortality. en
dc.format.medium Print en
dc.publisher HSRC Press en
dc.subject EMPLOYMENT en
dc.subject FORECASTING en
dc.subject SKILLS PROFILE en
dc.title Forecasting the demand for scarce skills, 2001-2006 en
dc.type Chapter in Monograph en
dc.BudgetYear 2003/04 en
dc.ResearchGroup Employment and Economic Policy Research en
dc.ResearchGroup Surveys, Analyses, Modelling and Mapping en
dc.SourceTitle Human resources development review 2003: education, employment and skills in South Africa en
dc.SourceTitle.CorporateAuthor Human Sciences Research Council en
dc.PlaceOfPublication Cape Town en
dc.ArchiveNumber 2520 en
dc.PageNumber 458-475 en
dc.outputnumber 1008 en
dc.bibliographictitle Woolard, I., Kneebone, P. & Lee, D. (2003) Forecasting the demand for scarce skills, 2001-2006. In: Human Sciences Research Council <i>Human resources development review 2003: education, employment and skills in South Africa</i>. Cape Town: HSRC Press. 458-475. en
dc.publicationyear 2003 en
dc.contributor.author1 Woolard, I. en
dc.contributor.author2 Kneebone, P. en
dc.contributor.author3 Lee, D. en

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